Overall crime rates in 2016 are projected to remain the same as last year, according to a year-end analysis by the Brennan Center for Justice. The murder rate is projected to increase, driven by problems in Chicago.
Candidates are taking the debate stage for the first time in the general election, and are likely to discuss crime, policing, and national security. New data analysis and briefing memos unpack some of the rhetoric around these issues.
The average person in a large urban area is safer walking on the street today than he or she would have been at almost any time in the past 30 years. In some cities, murder is up. But there is not yet sufficient evidence to conclude it's a national trend.